Why not just use a bluetooth speaker, and leave the phone outside the bathroom? That way, if it breaks, then it’s not as expensive to replace as a phone, and the audio quality is generally better than what a phone’s speakers can put out.

I’m honestly surprised that a smart fridge wasn’t basically that. That seems like the kind of lazy shortcut you’d expect to see, rather than everything being run off the one computer.

Does vibe coding feel incredible?

There’s definitely a magic in watching it print code with almost no input. Like watching git history with Gource.

It’s not good code, but it is cool to see.

They assume the AI will be able to get there with enough tokens/time with the help of the human at the other end. They have done this and decided it was good enough.

Or if it does break, just hit it with the AI stick until it works again.

It’s an order.

The size of improvements over time is diminishing. We’re not in “big bang” territory anymore and we’re about two years into the “incremental refinement” period. We’re about to enter the next AI Winter unless somebody comes up with a new architectural component as revolutionary as transformers have been for ML models.

The models are also getting extremely big as well, since the big improvement currently seems to largely be stuffing the model with more parameters, and making that work.

I can only imagine that the training cost has also been skyrocketing.

The core problem is that LLMs do not create. Full stop. All creativity is borne by the human inputs. Until that changes - until the model gains the capability to truly create new information, we’ve hit the limits in raw capability.

The models suppress outliers by design. Statistically speaking, the most novel thing is a garbled mess of random words, but random noise is useless, so it ends up being suppressed. You can see by fiddling the samplers, or increasing the temperature.

The Library of Babel is the most creative thing in the world, containing every possible combination of English words and letters. You can basically act like an LLM by trying to find a new coherent sentence in it, but also one that hasn’t been said before. It’s basically impossible.

But that is what an improvement is supposed to be. Compare that to finding a sentence that has been said, or something close to it.

Most gyms already have a “no photographs/videographs” sign, don’t they?

Both could be true at once.

Not unless it can predict all the contributing factors.

DNA isn’t the full story.

Maybe they got hit by a car, were a hobbyist boxer, or had surgery, for example.

Same womb, similar growing environment, etc.

But even then, they’re not perfectly identical. Very similar, but not the exact same.

Copycats might also be an issue. I remember that when Douglas Wreden published his book, he had to deal with numerous AI-generated copycats popping up one after the other, using his name and face, trying to trick people into buying their book, because his had become popular.

Don’t forget the glitchy James Bond footage

Yes, Saint Olga of Kyiv.

ITAR has severely restricted access to nav system tech export, but there was always this open question about reckoning position by visual cues rather than GPS + dead reckoning. We all knew it was technically feasible, but we assumed that having “visual” cues was further out because AI at the time wasn’t up to the task.

There’s always going back to the old-fashioned method of having a trained pigeon inside of the device instead of a sophisticated computer vision system.

Or some old cheap/free one. A nearby university open day recently had a stack of free 8 GB USB sticks they were giving out.

At least one major manufacturer also outright pulled out of the consumer market entirely. There’s no guarantee that they’ll come back, or else they would have just kept the consumer arm.

Microsoft seems intent on pushing people to alternatives. Not only did they quietly remove the higher RAM recommendation, but now the OS is more expensive.

So what people are likely to get an underpowered computer that costs more if they have to buy a new laptop. On the tail of Apple recently releasing a relatively nice and cheap laptop to much fanfare, no less.

It sounds like we’re about to see a repeat of the Windows Vista days. Where people hate Windows because it’s slow and horrible, and it is slow and horrible because it’s running on an underspecced machine barely meant to run the previous version of windows.

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Especially since if you’re choosing that, you usually have the device handy. At which point a direct transfer is easy to do, and that’s been a feature for a while.

It’s also good advertising. “We’ve powered this data centre with our solar panels, think of what it could power for you”.