In democracies, major policy decisions typically require some form of majority or consensus, so elites must secure mass support to govern. Historically, elites could shape support only through limited instruments like schooling and mass media; advances in AI-driven persuasion sharply reduce the cost and increase the precision of shaping public opinion, making the distribution of preferences itself an object of deliberate design. We develop a dynamic model in which elites choose how much to reshape the distribution of policy preferences, subject to persuasion costs and a majority rule constraint. With a single elite, any optimal intervention tends to push society toward more polarized opinion profiles - a polarization pull'' - and improvements in persuasion technology accelerate this drift. When two opposed elites alternate in power, the same technology also creates incentives to park society in semi-lock’’ regions where opinions are more cohesive and harder for a rival to overturn, so advances in persuasion can either heighten or dampen polarization depending on the environment. Taken together, cheaper persuasion technologies recast polarization as a strategic instrument of governance rather than a purely emergent social byproduct, with important implications for democratic stability as AI capabilities advance.

  • Fusselwurm@feddit.org
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    2 days ago

    elites

    I think you misspelled “anyone who is able to throw a lot of money at it”

    • beetus@lemmy.world
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      2 days ago

      Who are those with “a lot of money to throw at it” that are not the elites?

      • Fusselwurm@feddit.org
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        1 day ago

        Some people with a lot of money who want to change politics in a given country do NOT belong to that country’s elites. To name some of the most prominent examples – think (dis)information campaigns by individuals like Mohammed bin Salman, Vladimir Putin or Rupert Murdoch.

        Conversely, members of cultural elites like journalists or artists can often be quite poor (or at least not in the monetary class to be able to finance info ops)

        • beetus@lemmy.world
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          22 hours ago

          We are operating with different definitions, I guess. Vladimir Putin absolutely is a Russian “elite” under my world view.

          • Fusselwurm@feddit.org
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            14 hours ago

            oh, right. - i was under the impression we were talking about the elites among their respective societies.